Things are heating up in Taiwan

[tirwin1]

That's possible, and I think they would have taken the opportunity if it wasn't for the fact that we utterly dismantled the entire conventional military ability of the Iranian regime in about 2 days.

Pretty sure that scared Xi shitless.

As much as Desert Storm was a one sided ass whooping that made the Russian and Chinese generals shit their pants, this was a lot more so.

Combined with Venezuela, it demonstrates just how far ahead the US is militarily that anyone else on the planet.

That's true but what good is a superior military if it is tied up in the mid east and can't get to Taiwan?

 

[spat]

That's true but what good is a superior military if it is tied up in the mid east and can't get to Taiwan?

Well, even more terrifying for China is that we only committed 2 of our 11 aircraft carriers to the Iran situation.

So the idea that our military was "tied up" in the middle east would be a gross misunderstanding of the situation.

If we were forced to deal with a Taiwain invasion at the same time as the Iran situation, then we would be too "tied up" to deal with a 3rd major conflict, but I'm not really sure there is another belligerent that could supply one, since Russia still has their hands full with Ukraine.

And the commitment of major forces in Iran happened so fast that China wouldn't have had time to undertake the Taiwan invasion before many of what we had committed to Iran would have been freed up.

China can't keep their forces poised to invade at any second indefinitely and it would probably have taken them weeks to position troops and material to prep for an invasion once they found out about the Iran situation.

By the time they're ready to invade, we'll be nearly out of targets in Iran and we can probably slash the operational tempo there drastically if we needed to pivot to the Pacific.

 

[fresch]

Never underestimate stupid .

 

[tirwin1]

Interesting timing for this meeting.

Xi Hosts Taiwan Opposition Leader In Rare Meeting: 'We Will Not Become A Chessboard For External Intervention'<!-- --> | ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

 

[Drinkthekoolaid]

Interesting timing for this meeting.

Xi Hosts Taiwan Opposition Leader In Rare Meeting: 'We Will Not Become A Chessboard For External Intervention'<!-- --> | ZeroHedge

ZeroHedge - On a long enough timeline, the survival rate for everyone drops to zero

www.zerohedge.com

Perhaps this will be to deliver "an offer that can't be refused"....

 

[Drinkthekoolaid]

My prediction is China will makes its move on Taiwan some point in the next 0-18 months.

They will do so because the world is distracted by so many simultaneous conflicts

the US missile stockpile is significantly lower than it should be. China will try to milk as much out in the Iran conflict as possible and won't want to give us a chance to replenish.

And in the next ~18 months we are going to have the successor to both the f22 and our newest stealth bombers undoing inital combat certification Air Force says two advanced stealthy aircraft are ahead of schedule, with first delivery set for 2027

 

[holdover]

Without a doubt, the opportunity is there. they may start applying pressure to Taiwan but they are in no hurry to fight . they win in the long run , if the US dollar collapses or a global market crash happens they might.

 

[spat]

Without a doubt, the opportunity is there. they may start applying pressure to Taiwan but they are in no hurry to fight . they win in the long run , if the US dollar collapses or a global market crash happens they might.

They have a couple more years, tops, before their demographic bomb goes off.

They're under a bigger time constraint than we are, by a long shot.

 

[fresch]

No, they will all become trans and start banging each other to over cum the 1 male child that they did for 3 generations. Well as the demonrats would have people believe.