Ukraine - Russia Conflict (Original Title: Things are heating up in the Donbass)

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holdover

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Ukraine is facing an acute manpower shortage, stemming from both military conscription challenges and a severe civilian labor deficit. The crisis has constrained troop rotations on the frontline and crippled key industries like energy, construction, and agriculture. [1, 2, 3]
Military Manpower Crisis
  • Draft Evasion & AWOL Rates: Approximately 2 million men are wanted by authorities for draft evasion. Official figures indicate up to 255,000 soldiers are absent without leave (AWOL) and 56,000 are classified as deserters. [1, 2]
  • Soldier Fatigue & Reforms: Decimated by years of continuous fighting, long-serving troops face immense exhaustion. To curb desertion and boost morale, the government has introduced fixed-term contracts guaranteeing soldiers six months away from duty upon completion. [1, 2]
  • Recruitment Efforts: Kyiv has boosted military wages and initiated efforts to recruit fighters abroad to ease the burden on domestic manpower. [1]
Civilian Labor Shortage
  • Business Impact: About 75% of employers cite a lack of qualified personnel as the main obstacle to business development, with a severe structural gap where job vacancies far outpace the number of registered seekers. [1]
  • Economic Strain: The massive loss of working-age population—due to both military casualties and mass emigration—has driven up wages and contributed to inflation. [1, 2, 3]
  • Inclusivity Focus: To combat labor scarcity, the private sector has rapidly shifted toward hiring veterans and increasing workforce inclusivity. [1]
For more information on the current dynamics, read the detailed analysis from the Institute for the Study of War or explore the labor market impacts at Promotion Global.

To be drafted into the infantry in Ukraine is a death sentence. theres no going back till the war is over. Ive heard stories of foreign volunteer's not being allowed to leave, and had to cross the border illegally to get out


Ukraine war briefing: Zelenskyy boosts army wages and seeks foreign recruits to counter manpower shortage​


  • Ukraine will hike military wages and seek to recruit more fighters abroad, Volodymyr Zelenskyy has confirmed, as the army faces a manpower shortage after four years of war with Russia. Zelenskyy’s government said in May it would study possible measures to boost military personnel numbers after talks on how to end the war with Russia stalled. “We agreed on how to increase the financial resilience of our defence and further transformation of the Ukrainian army,” Ukraine’s president said on Friday after meeting key cabinet ministers. “The cabinet of ministers will approve a specific mechanism, and the government should start the first new payments as early as June,” he added.

www.theguardian.com

Ukraine war briefing: Zelenskyy boosts army wages and seeks foreign recruits to counter manpower shortage

Frontline soldiers to get better salaries and revised fixed-term contracts; Putin reacts to Ukraine’s increasing drone strikes. What we know on day 1,571
www.theguardian.com www.theguardian.com
 
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spat

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holdover said:
The population of Russia in 2026 is estimated to be approximately 143.4 million people, ranking as the 9th most populous country in the world

In 2026, the male population in Russia aged 19 to 50 is estimated to be roughly 18 to 19 million.

How many men aged 18 to 50 in Russia?


AI Overview


The total male population in Russia aged 18 to 50 is estimated to be approximately 31 million. This cohort makes up roughly one-fifth of Russia's total population of about 143 to 146 million, with the prime working-age group (25-54) accounting for slightly over 30 million males on its own

and if you really get down to it, 16 and 17 year old can fight, plus they have a tradition of women snipers pilots . I dont think they really have a man power issue ,
Click to expand...
That sounds like they have plenty left.

But only until you remember that they were already in a demographic collapse *before* the war.

30 million taxpayers to take care of a population of 146 million is already a catastrophe.

Now, without those young men around to have families, what's the *next* generation going to look like ? When what's left of this generation starts to retire, how fucked are they going to be ?

If you think Gen Z is getting screwed in social security here, that's nothing compared to what's going to happen in Russia over the next couple decades.
 
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